trump and Yemen blockade/ possible three scenarios

The United States is seeking to save Bin Salman from the Yemeni swamp and manage the biggest problem and defeat foreign policy of the Saudi young foreign crown prince.

News ID: 67367

Date: 10 December 2017 - 09:10

Donald Trump, the President coincides with the announcement of the city of Al-Quds as the capital of Israel wanted to end the siege Yemen from Saudi Arabia. This issue is a lot of question mark about the Trump position about Yemen. Because the Saudi military and political assistance America in 33 months from the ground, air and sea to Yemen, is raped. The contract of sale 110 billion weapons to Saudi Arabia in June on a trip to Saudi Arabia was concluded, trump the greatest support of Washington in the war Riyadh, Yemen. So Trump requests from Saudi Arabia to Yemen siege at first glance kind of shift by Washington can be interpreted. But this action can trump how? To respond to the reasons for this understanding can trump the three positions possible scenario in this field.

The first scenario: being Trump action display.

Yemen missile unit on November 4, with a ballistic missile vessels bar Khaled international airport in Riyadh targeting property. This "strategic threat" notice action Riyadh; why would increase the range of missiles and ballistic missile in Yemen crossed barkan of defensive systems to the Saudi capital of Riyadh triggered security objectives. That's why Saudi Arabia with the aim of intensifying pressures on the people of Yemen, the siege of the country's land, sea and air port and complete alhadideh as well as the only way of communication with the outside world, Yemen siege. This action caused more than 7 million adverse situations, reform in the patient. That's why criticism of the United Nations and the international community towards the measures Saudi Arabia in Yemen increased. The action of the European Parliament in making banned weapons sales to Saudi Arabia also makes some sort of "political-bound for Saudi Arabia. Under such conditions, Donald Trump also aims to manage public opinion towards Yemen's crisis of abolition of the siege of the country. In fact, Trump has followed the efforts of the United Nations, human rights groups and non-governmental institutions as well as in the import pressure on Saudi Arabia to abolish the "siege of confiscation». Because the result of these pressures eventually will lead to the retreat of Saudi. So it seems this request is the only performing in order to trump the public management.

The second scenario: Trump's reaction against ansarallah victories.

Recent victories in Yemen ansarallah embed international airport in Riyadh and King Khalid 30 billion dollar nuclear albarakeh  in Abu Dhabi makes a sort of "strategic change" in the equation of Yemen. In addition to this the end of intrigue Sanaa and killing of Ali Abdullah Saleh, also former President of Yemen ansarallah as the only military force in the North of Yemen-a coherent political transforming. The outcome could mean the possibility of retreat of Yemen Saudi Arabia. That's why Trump looking for it is up to the kind of initiative and efforts to abolish ansarallah siege Yemen, compared to improve American prestige on the Yemen-Saudi-crime. In fact, in the form of this scenario are trying to Trump possible retreat ahead of Saudi Arabia, Washington as the designer end of the Yemen crisis.

The third scenario: Trump deal with Ben Salman.

Normalize relations with Israel, Arab countries is one of the most important plans for Donald Trump. In the past year that Trump as the President is responsible for the country's foreign policy has been the Saudi efforts for proximity to Israel. In the current circumstances it is looking to Trump ties the Arab countries with Israel on the path of normalization. So Saudi Arabia is trying to Trump as one of the most important Arab countries as the standard-bearer of the introduced normalization. In this way he has followed Ben Salman of Yemen's largest swamp and save the trouble and failure of the foreign policy of the young Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia is typical. Hence the attempt to cancel the siege Yemen action against Saudi Arabia in appearance, however, but in fact, the first step in the direction of trying to trump the end Yemen's crisis can be interpreted as well. Save the bin Salman of the swamp, Yemen is also free of charge and he must be more than near Riyadh and Tel Aviv. So the recent Trump action in order to relieve the siege of Yemen in this scenario on the one hand in order to save the bin Salman and the other side is a step in the direction of normalization of relations with Israel, Arab countries.

Speaking of the appeal

A total of Trump's request to remove the siege Yemen can be a reflection of Yemen's political and field conditions. Because on the one hand the international community is moving towards some kind of relative consensus against Yemen's crisis and are in keeping with the direction of the trump this wave with the goal of restoration of the face of the crisis in Yemen Yemen siege of fixes is spoken.

On the other hand the victory against Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates ansarallah, especially the killing of Ali Abdullah Saleh as a strategic change in the recent intrigue performer Sanaa Yemen has been led to equations and Yemen over the issue of the war each time your end will close. The result of this will be the end of the siege Yemen also issue so Trump is trying to get this issue before the action, the main variable in the Washington end the siege Yemen. But perhaps the most likely scenario in this case would Trump efforts to rescue Ben Salman of the swamp Yemen and Saudi support of Israel against the acquisition. The issue with the new trump in action off the Al-Quds as the capital of Israel more important.

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