Trump Takes a Seven Point Lead over Biden in Battleground State of Iowa

TEHRAN (defapress)- A new poll shows that President Donald Trump has a seven point lead over rival Joe Biden in swing state Iowa.

News ID: 82442

Date: 02 November 2020 - 12:45

The latest Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll, released Saturday, shows that Trump is ahead of Biden, 48 percent to 41 percent, in the state, with 2020 Election Day just days away, Daily Mail reported.

Three percent of respondents said that they would vote for someone else, while two percent said they weren't sure who they would vote for. Another five percent said that they didn't want to disclose who they planned to vote for.

In September, the Iowa Poll revealed that Trump and Biden were tied at 47 percent among voters in the state.

The latest Iowa Poll surveyed 814 likely Iowa voters and was conducted Selzer & Co. of Des Moines between October 26 to 29. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.

The new Iowa Poll results come on the heels of Friday's Fox News poll which revealed that Trump is closing the gap with Biden and is now only eight points behind the former vice president among national voters.

The Iowa Poll indicated that there's still a gender gap between voters, with more men in the state being likely to throw their support behind Trump, while women support Biden.

Iowa independents - who supported Trump during the 2016 election - also told pollsters that they planned on supporting Trump for this election. They favor Trump 49 percent to Biden's 35 percent.

Back during September's Iowa Poll, independents had said they were behind Biden at 50 percent to Trump's 38 percent.

"The president is holding demographic groups that he won in Iowa four years ago, and that would give someone a certain level of comfort with their standing," J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., told the Des Moines Register.

"There's a consistent story in 2020 to what happened in 2016," Selzer added, noting that "neither candidate hits 50%, so there’s still some play here".

In 2016, Trump won Iowa by 9.4 percentage points.

In an attempt to swing the state, Biden held a drive-in rally in Des Moines on Friday. Trump is scheduled to hold a rally in Dubuque, Iowa, on Sunday.

The Iowa Poll showed that 94 percent of voters have already made up their minds about who they intend to cast their ballots for. Only four percent of those polled said that they could be persuaded to go either way, while two percent said they didn't have a first choice for president.

Many polled have already cast their ballots, though, as 51 percent of likely voters said they voted via early or mail-in voting.

Among those who have already voted, 55 percent have voted for Biden, compared to 32 percent who voted for Trump.

But, among those who plan to vote on Election Day itself, Trump leads Biden, 64 percent to 28 percent.

Friday's Fox News national poll showed that Biden is ahead of Trump by a 52-44 percent margin, with two percent of likely voters backing a third-party candidate and two percent being undecided.

Three weeks ago, in early October, the pollster said that Biden had a 53-43 percent margin.

When it came to in-person voting, 53 percent said that they would vote for Trump. Of mail-in voters, 65 percent said they would vote for Biden. Among early voters, Biden is ahead by 29 points. But Trump leads by 16 points among Election Day voters.

The Fox News poll was conducted between October 27 to 29 by Beacon Research and Shaw & Company. The poll results were based on interviews with 1,318 randomly chosen registered voters nationwide and included results among 1,246 likely voters. It's margin of error was plus or minus 2.5 percentage points for both registered and likely voters.
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