Analysis of long-term US military presence in Iraq
According to international Defapress reporter, after the US attack and occupation of Iraq, it was officially scheduled to leave the country by the end of 2011. This happened in December 2011, but some US troops did not leave Iraq to train Iraqi soldiers. US officials have recently supposed about the permanent presence of US forces in Iraq. A concise look at these remarks somewhat reveals the aims of the Americans in insisting on the continuation of their presence in Iraq.
US Secretary of Defense Jim Matisse said last month that even without the ISIL physical presence, their remaining threats will be a threat to the constancy of the free areas and also to our land. ISIL may not be able to capture an area, but it is horrifying with the bombing in Iraq and elsewhere in the world. General Paul Funk, the US Army General, also said: "I think we need to stay in the area for a long time to build our partner capacity."
In this regard, the US ambassador to Iraq, James Jeffrey and an analyst at the Z for Near East Policy, said: "The future mission of US troops will be similar to what we already see in Iraq, specifically preparation Iraqi forces and helping in information and observation, We do not occupy them in direct fights, the presence of advisers and other supporters of the United States contributes to military stability and to prevent the catastrophe that occurred in 2014.
According to US officials, are only the main factors behind the decision to permanently establish US forces in Iraq, fearing the rest of ISIL in this country? Or does the United States follow other aims consistent with its own interests and its allies? Perhaps one of the main intentions of the long-term presence of US forces, according to James Jeffrey, the American ambassador to Iraq, is to monitor the expansion of Iranian influence in Baghdad. It is not surprising that the US authorities point out only one point of reference in mitigating their permanent attendance and fight it against the rest of ISIL in Iraq to present a globally accountable prestige and provide a solid justification for enduring its presence. However, they occasionally point to Iran and the disruptive character of its stability in the area to make itself a designer of world order and stability.
US strategy on long-term presence in Iraq
The factors shaping US policy for the presence or absence of the country in Iraq are in line with its aims and interests. These aims can be prioritized as follows:
Access to oil resources; Saudi Arabia holds about 262 billion barrels of oil reserves in the world, while the US Energy Intelligence Estimate (2001) estimates that Iraq has not discovered 220 billion barrels of oil reserves, Which is around Saudi Arabia. America's admittance to such a massive energy provides can secure America's power for years to come and solve many of America's economic problems.
Meanwhile, the oil reserves of the island of MaJnoun in Iraq are more than 10 billion barrels, according to the "Oil and Gas Journal", which says it is hard to reach 2 billion and 500 million barrels. Iraq's oil is not just a huge source of fuel for the United States, but the aim of Iraq's profession and control of Iraq is to control Iraq's oil resources as a leverage of power, not a fuel source, because Michael Clare, a professor of world studies on peace and security at the University of Hampshire, because This domination means having control over Europe, Japan and China and giving the United States the power to control oil lions.
The fight against the spread of terrorism, the US invasion of Iraq, with the excuse of Iraqi support for terrorist groups and the possession of weapons of mass destruction, has been proven to be false only after the US occupation, basically, the occupation of a country with a fake accusation which the United States was executing to influence its country. Many even believe that the US incursion of Iraq laid the groundwork for the activities of terrorist and fundamentalist groups. On the other hand, the absence of chemical, microbial and radioactive weapons (weapons of mass destruction) has led the United States to put another way to attack the country, which was the endorsement of democracy in this area, and somehow seeking peace and democracy. It was the path of war.
American officials have frequently emphasized this and, based on the excuse of security, reform and civil society, established their long-term attendance in the area. Since the official mass departure of US forces from Iraq in 2011, the eight-year presence of US profession has led to the configuration of revolutionary groups. After four years, by 2015, the country has witnessed suicide bombings, the assassination and occupation of some parts of the country and anxiety. Among the terrorist groups in this country are ISIL and al-Qaeda. The allegations of counteracting terrorism in Iraq are quite opposing to the performance of the Americans. Sending equipment weapons and food to doubtful flights operated by the United States under the sponsorship of ISIS, providing the right environment for terrorists to operate in cyberspace, failing to deal with bank accounts of terrorists in Western banks, a tiny corner of Washington's support to the terrorists. However, one of the reasons for the presence of the United States in Iraq has been the fight against these groups.
In 2014, when ISIL seized more than a third of the terrain of Iraq, only Americans did not play a role in dismantling ISIL, according to the US ambassador to Iraq. According to the Iraqi President, all Shiite, Sunni, and Kurdish groups participated, and Iran was the first government to provide humanitarian assistance and military advice to Iraq. At the request of the Iraqi government, Iran was beaten by Iraqis to destroy ISIL and the first thing they did was to create a Baghdad security belt. Then, with the authority of the Najaf authorities, they organized a popular mobilization and took control of the fronts, in which the Associated Press acknowledged in a report that general Qasem Soleimani and the Al-Qods Force at the forefront of confronting ISIL prevented the collapse of Baghdad.
Avoiding the formation of a regional order contrary to American interests
One of the concerns of the United States is the growing power of Iran in the area and the amalgamation among countries such as Iran, Iraq and Syria. In the same vein, former Foreign Minister Henry Kissinger and a senior US strategist point to Iran's situation and influence.
He described Iran as the most prone country in the area to build a strong regional power and warned that Iran's threat today is much more significant than ISIS! Consequently, the creation of tensions through ISILL and Western interference in Syria and Iraq was fundamentally aimed at removing Iran's threat and undermining the resistance front, which was entirely designed to secure Israel's security. Because striking the balance of power in the Middle East is in the attention of Israel, which is one of the main constituents of the Middle East policy of the United States.
Iraq is one of Iran's neighbors that have the longest border with Iran, so there is a close connection between the regional security of the Middle East, particularly Iraq, with the national security of the Islamic Republic, both inside and outside the country. Any challenge or change in its political and military-security structure affects Iran's security and foreign policy. The United States is committed to continuing the incessant export of oil and the security of Saudi Arabia, which has been a traditional ally of the United States for many years, and is now part of a United States alliance with Israel. On the one hand, Saudi Arabia is worried about the Shiite ties among Iraq and Iran, and this concern is a leverage on Saudi Arabia by the United States to put Iran at risk in the area, and to insult public view repeatedly in Iran to insult terrorists; That the world has acknowledged the influential character of Iran in combating terrorism.
The continuous US military presence in Iraq basically limits the power of contrive of Iran and its allies and serves as a kind of power show for the United States in the area, provoking a dual message in the area; on the one hand, for US allies in the area (like Israel), the promise of security and on the other hand, the occupation of Iraq and the presence of US troops in this country, give the warning to non-puppet countries such as Iran, which may also be a day for you. The presence of the US military in Iraq for these countries in the area can be a leverage to stop the unification of the countries of the area against Israel. Therefore, the United States must insist on staying in Iraq.
The US attack of Iraq and occupation of the country took place within three weeks only with the supposed excuse of supporting Saddam Hussein's government from terrorist groups and weapons of mass destruction, after the profession of this country, the fake maintains of the United States were revealed to Iraq, and this The Iraqi striker became the enduring guest of Iraqi table. With the collapse and fall down of ISIL, the whispering of the complete dismemberment of US troops from Iraq has thrown the country into a throes cause to bring a new justification to enter the country, though it has been inaccurate.
The justification for the permanent US presence in Iraq, which has been presented by some of its top officials, is threatening the remains of ISIL for the stability of the areas freed in that country. The major aims of the United States for the permanent deployment of US military forces in Iraq are not only easy and free right of entry to Iraqi oil resources; however, it is difficult to ignore Iraq's vast oil reserves, which can transform America's economic power for years to come. The change in the balance of the area in favor of the United States and its allies is another aim of the country, which is an efficient constituent in insisting on the permanent presence of its military forces because it can change regional order in the direction of its close allies like Israel and Saudi Arabia.
In this regard, one of the most significant barriers to this move toward is the containment of the resistance axis, according to US officials. On the other hand, the situation of Iraq in the area has potentially provided the United States with widespread conditions to achieve this. penalty of the inhibition of the resistance axis in addition to altering the order of the area to the benefit of the United States, will automatically lead to the security of Israel and undermine this front. Another aim of the United States is to continue to deploy its military forces in Iraq to fight terrorist groups,Fighting groups that have been repeatedly protected by American arms, munitions and cybercrime.
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